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Heading into an Era Where Antibiotics No Longer Work? The Future Brought by the Surge in Drug-Resistant Infections: The Weight of the Prediction of 39 Million Deaths by 2050

Heading into an Era Where Antibiotics No Longer Work? The Future Brought by the Surge in Drug-Resistant Infections: The Weight of the Prediction of 39 Million Deaths by 2050

2025年10月15日 01:50

The Reality of "1 in 6" Not Working: A WHO Report on the Post-Antibiotic World

On October 13, 2025, the World Health Organization (WHO) announced that among the bacterial infections confirmed worldwide in 2023, 1 in 6 people showed resistance to standard antibiotics. Resistance increased in over 40% of the monitored "pathogen × antibiotic" combinations from 2018 to 2023, with an annual growth rate of **5-15%**. Official statistics have confirmed the reality that the risks of surgical operations and routine infection treatments are gradually increasing.World Health Organization


This assessment is based on the latest report from GLASS (Global Antimicrobial Resistance and Use Surveillance System), which aggregates surveillance data from various countries. The report visualized the reality, including regional differences, based on over 23 million cases (such as bloodstream infections, urinary tract infections, gastrointestinal infections, and gonorrhea) reported from 104 countries.World Health Organization


Regionally, reports have frequently stated that the resistance level is high, with **"1 in 3"** in Southeast Asia and the Eastern Mediterranean, and exceeding **"two-thirds"** in some parts of Africa. In contrast, the **Western Pacific region (including Japan) is "1 in 11"**, which is relatively low, but the increasing trend is similar, making it hard to call it a "safe zone."News.com.au


What is Happening Now: Impact on Healthcare and Society

Urinary tract infections, pneumonia, bacteremia, gonorrhea, and other common diseases are also experiencing a gradual spread of "reduced effectiveness" of existing drugs. WHO warns that "if effective antibiotics are lost, the premise of routine surgeries and chemotherapy could collapse."euronews


This sense of crisis is not new. Estimates from 2019 indicated that 1.27 million deaths were directly caused by resistant bacteria, with 4.95 million related deaths. Future projections suggest that by 2050, "direct causes" alone could reach 39 million, with cumulative related deaths reaching 169 million. The increase is particularly notable among the elderly, and the impact on global healthcare finances and labor productivity cannot be ignored.Wellcome


Reactions Spreading on Social Media: Alarms, Policy Demands, and "Fatigue"

 


Following the WHO announcement, several typical reactions were observed on social media.

  1. Alarms and Calls to Action
    International health journalists, expert accounts, and medical media spread headlines like "1 in 6," advocating for the strengthening of Antimicrobial Stewardship (AMS) and real-time surveillance. Medical policy media reported with the keyword **"strengthening pandemic risk monitoring"**, also mentioning the increased burden on clinical settings.X (formerly Twitter)

  2. Pressure on Policy and Funding
    Claims such as "a 'new business model' to support R&D is essential" and "accelerating diagnostics is key to reducing antibiotic misuse" were frequently made, with posts from media and researchers spreading widely.X (formerly Twitter)

  3. Skepticism, Fatigue, and "Misunderstandings"
    On the other hand, community posts included accurate points like "overuse in livestock and humans is the main cause" and "the structural issue of the antibiotic market making it hard to recoup investments," alongside overly simplified claims and political rhetoric. Discussion threads spread to debates on the pros and cons of vaccines and regulations, with "information noise" including unsubstantiated assertions becoming visible.Reddit


Overall, mainstream media and health authorities' posts share the sense of crisis and urge for measures, while anxiety, fatigue, and conflict coexist in the general community.X (formerly Twitter)


What Should Be Done: Five Practical Measures

  1. Thorough Antimicrobial Stewardship (AMS): Antibiotics are ineffective against viral infections. Adhering to testing→diagnosis→prescription and completing medication is the first step.World Health Organization

  2. Comprehensive Measures with One Health: Monitoring antibiotic use in humans, animals, and the environment, along with wastewater management, vaccination, and hygiene measures to reduce infection opportunities.World Health Organization

  3. Real-Time Diagnostics and Data: Investing in expanding GLASS and rapid testing to reduce "broad-spectrum prescriptions".World Health Organization

  4. Redesigning Drug Development Incentives: Expanding revenue models like subscription-based models that work even without selling, and strengthening pipelines targeting Gram-negative bacteria. Future scenarios estimate that appropriate treatment access and severe infection management could prevent 92 million deaths.PubMed

  5. Citizen Participation: Avoiding self-discontinuation, not storing or repurposing leftover medication, and making it a habit to communicate with doctors and pharmacists.


Conclusion: Turning the "Weight" of Numbers into Action

"1 in 6" is not a cleverly crafted headline but a **"probability"** that the clinical frontline is already facing.The fact that resistance is rising by 5-15% annually means that if measures are not timely, the cumulative risk will increase exponentially. Although there are regional differences, the upward trend is common even in low regions. To preserve "effectiveness" for the future, a comprehensive mobilization of diagnostics, data, incentives, and citizen action is essential.World Health Organization


Reference Articles

WHO Warns of Rapid Increase in Drug-Resistant Infections
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/13/health/who-antibiotic-drug-resistance.html

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