Will the Launch of Nintendo Switch 2 Be Successful? Expectations and Concerns Based on Past Records

Debate Over Sales Forecast for Nintendo Switch 2

Nintendo has forecasted sales of 15 million units for its latest console, the Switch 2. While analysts consider this number to be conservative, Nintendo cites pricing as a factor. Let's reflect on past Nintendo product launches and consider the potential success of the Switch 2.

Past Successes and Failures

Nintendo's history includes launches that can be deemed successful, as well as those that were not. For example, the Nintendo Wii was a massive hit with its innovative controls, but the subsequent Wii U fell short of expectations. These past examples serve as important lessons for predicting the future of the Switch 2.

Expectations in the Japanese Market

Japanese gamers always have high expectations for new Nintendo products. The Switch, in particular, recorded massive success both domestically and internationally, establishing itself as a standard for home consoles. There is keen interest in how the Switch 2 will inherit and further evolve this position.

The figure of 15 million units is lower than the approximately 18 million units of the original Switch. It is seen as a realistic estimate considering factors such as semiconductor shortages, supply chain uncertainties, risks in the Chinese market, and competition from the PS5 and Steam Deck.

On the other hand, there are rumors that the Switch 2 will feature a high-performance SoC and support for DLSS (AI-assisted high-resolution enhancement), with the hybrid approach of a home console and handheld device expected to continue. There is also anticipation for backward compatibility and the release of killer titles like new 'Zelda' and 'Mario' games, aimed at retaining existing Switch users.

The conservative sales forecast is considered a strategic decision that includes market maneuvering, and it might even create a scarcity effect, stimulating demand. All eyes are on Nintendo's next move and the waves it will create in the gaming industry.

Reactions on Social Media

"Can the Switch 2 surpass the success of the original Switch? I'm curious about the price, but it's Nintendo, so I can't help but be excited!"
- Game Fan @game_fan123

"I hope they don't repeat the failure of the Wii U... I want the Switch 2 to listen more to user feedback!"
- User @nintendo_lover

Conclusion and Outlook

The Switch 2, Nintendo's highly anticipated new console, is welcomed with great expectations in Japan. As Nintendo learns from pricing strategies and past lessons, attention is on how they will tackle this new challenge. For Japanese gamers, the Switch 2 is not just a new product but a crucial step that will shape future gaming experiences. With many users unable to purchase it for a while, anti-resale measures are also a point of interest.