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Why Do Plans for Achieving Something During Summer Vacation Fall Through? Four Common Pitfalls

Why Do Plans for Achieving Something During Summer Vacation Fall Through? Four Common Pitfalls

2025年08月16日 00:06

1. Why Do Summer Vacation Plans Fall Apart?

Long vacations may seem to offer ample time, but in reality, they are easily encroached upon by daily chores and unexpected plans. Moreover, the human brain is inherently "poor at accurately estimating the future" and tends to rely on willpower and mood. This means that it's not because "you have weak willpower" that things don't get done, but rather that there are "psychological traps that everyone is prone to."




2. Four Psychological Tendencies Leading to Plan Failures

(1) Planning Fallacy

A concept proposed by behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman and others in 1979, where people systematically underestimate the time required for their tasks. Even if they've experienced delays in writing reports or studying for qualifications in the past, they typically remain optimistic, thinking "this time will be different." This is because they make estimates based on the "best-case scenario," which always results in discrepancies with the actual time needed.


Countermeasure:

  • Always add a buffer based on past performance (e.g., +30-50%).

  • Instead of "working until it's done," implement "time boxing" by setting time limits.



(2) Motivation Dependence

Thinking "I'll do it when I'm motivated" often leads to procrastination due to minor factors like heat, drowsiness, or smartphone notifications. Human moods are easily influenced by external environments, making mood-dependent actions unstable. In psychology, "implementation intentions (If-Then planning)" is considered effective for improving this state.


Countermeasure:

  • Set specific triggers (e.g., "If I make coffee in the morning, I'll open the English vocabulary app for 3 minutes").

  • By linking it to a routine, create a state where it "automatically executes even without motivation."



(3) Perfectionism and Vague Goals

Imposing perfect rules like "study for 2 hours every day" can lead to a strong sense of frustration and loss of motivation if you fail even once. Additionally, vague goals like "do your best to study" do not lead to actual actions.


Countermeasure:

  • Introduce the MIN/GOOD method (MIN = minimum action to clear, GOOD = ideally achieved action).

  • Focus on "behavior indicators" like "sit at the desk for 25 minutes every day" rather than outcomes.



(4) Present Bias (Procrastination)

The tendency of "present pleasure > future benefit" is universally inherent in humans. The temptations of summer vacation are particularly strong, with games, videos, and plans with friends always present as "immediate rewards." As a result, the thought "I'll get serious from tomorrow" is repeated, and plans fall apart.


Countermeasure:

  • Introduce commitments with others or commitment devices (e.g., send a study log to a friend every night).

  • Incorporate immediate small pleasures with "temptation bundling" (e.g., listen to favorite music only while studying).



3. Practical Approach: How to Catch Up Even in the Latter Half of Summer Vacation

WOOP Method (Wish/Outcome/Obstacle/Plan)

A method that considers "wish," "best outcome," "biggest obstacle," and "how to deal with it" as a set. Research has reported its effectiveness in learning, health behaviors, and habit formation.


Example:

  • Wish: Memorize 600 English words by 8/31.

  • Outcome: Communicate smoothly at the travel destination.

  • Obstacle: Feel sluggish in the evening and end up fiddling with the smartphone.

  • Plan: If feeling sluggish at 5 PM, wash face with cold water and sit at the desk for 25 minutes.



Chaining If-Then Planning

Connect multiple triggers to automate actions.

  • Make coffee in the morning → 3 minutes on the vocabulary app → 25-minute timer → deep breath when done.



Time Boxing and Buffer Management

Fix "25-minute slots" at the same time using Google Calendar, and make it a habit. Additionally, anticipate planning fallacy by allowing a 30% buffer for a realistic plan.



Commitment and Accountability

  • Send a checkmark to a friend after studying.

  • Set a "review time" once a week to verbalize one cause and countermeasure.



Recovery Protocol

  • On days when it's impossible to proceed, start with the smallest unit using the "5-minute rule."

  • The next day, recover with "double stacking" (25 minutes × 2).



4. Case Studies

  • University student A always delayed reports due to planning fallacy but halved the average delay by introducing reference class forecasting and time boxing.

  • Working adult B moved away from "waiting for motivation" by introducing three If-Then plans, maintaining zero unstarted tasks for three weeks.

  • High school student C overcame procrastination habits with commitment and temptation bundling, reducing the average time to start to within 3 minutes.



5. Conclusion

Plan failures are not due to "weak willpower," but rather due to cognitive biases and behavioral habits common to humans. By designing with this in mind, it's entirely possible to accumulate "small achievements" even in the remaining days of summer vacation. Start today with one If-Then plan, 25 minutes of MIN action, and one check of the completion log. By making this three-point set a habit, plans will naturally move closer to being "on track."




List of Reference Articles

  • The Planning Fallacy: The Inside View - SPSP

  • Implementation Intentions and Goal Achievement: A Meta-analysis - ScienceDirect

  • Implementation Intentions - NCI

  • Present bias and health - PMC

  • Present-Bias, Procrastination and Deadlines - NBER

  • WOOP METHOD - Kansas University PDF

  • WOOP in caregiving context - PMC



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